Why Theresa May will fail (hopefully)

Say what you will about Theresa May’s policies and ideas for shaping post-Brexit Britain, but there’s no denying the irritation that she sparks in her political opponents for her perpetual smugness. Smugness that has hardly been earned after a laughably uncontested ascension to the top of the rotten pile of empty vessels and dilapidated backward ideas that now constitute the self-described ‘Conservative Party.’

Conservative is certainly a kind way to describe Theresa May’s emerging managerial style. A blunt and more honest description might be ‘pedantic’ or ‘slow to act’. Her deliberation is ultimately what will be her eventual downfall, as was Gordon Brown’s. Under the coalition years, she was allowed the opportunity to be more deliberate and think through her decisions; the need to (sort-of) acquire consent from Liberal Democrats allowed the Home Office breathing room. Since the general election, the EU Referendum has also allowed her some space, the media focused on the toing and froing of the appalling campaigning from both sides, (not at all rectified by a clueless media).

Now, however, May has nowhere to hide. I predict that over the coming months, the varying political pressures in this country, both the socially progressive and the moneyed interests, will begin to tire of her insistence of delaying making any decisions, Hinkley-Point will be the first of many delays. There is more at stake in the post-Brexit world than her career is worth. May is not suitably brave or selfless enough to sacrifice her carefully accrued political brownie points in order to make the best deal possible for the UK. She has surrounded herself with large personalities in her cabinet who will undoubtedly clash as the months go by, as the crushing grind of running a government beginning to crack the fragile fabric of the Conservative Party. A government with a slim majority of just 12 MPs, many of whom hold contrary views on what a post-Brexit society should look like.

The Foreign Office should be handled with the utmost care in the aftermath of Britain’s most drastic upset in decades. The Japanese are among the first countries to bark at Britain’s lack of diligence. Relations with Europe are battered and bruised. The USA is dumbfounded by Britain’s vote to leave, rightly or wrongly. May’s smugness was exuded with Britain’s boasting for its useless and pointless medal wins at the Rio Olympics. And in this delicate, “proceed with caution’ climate, May has chosen to appoint Boris Johnson, a man so vehemently vile and self-deluded that one can’t help but think he would be better off consigned to the history books after his appalling work as London Mayor in which inequality has reached an all time high.

Jeremy Corbyn meanwhile has been infuriatingly occupied by Labour MPs, who having got into bed with powerful factions of the Establishment in the New Labour years, are now throwing their toys out their relegated position of the neighbouring pram, now that the Tories have crawled into their place with a thankful wink for keeping their place warm. Jeremy Corbyn could quite fairly be accused of the same pedantic tendencies as May; after all the, the decaying and archaic folded together sheets of paper that we refer to as the ‘press’ say he’s useless, and so it comes to be.

However, Corbyn has something on his side; the distinct possibility of an economic shockwave, and the fact that May is the current Prime Minister with slow deliberation.  The cause of the shockwave will be anyone’s guess: will it be the inevitable burst of the London property bubble which will cause the banks to tighten their pursestrings and drag down the rest of the country? Or unforeseen consequences of the Brexit vote as Britain encounters a period of economic adjustment ? Or will it be the collapse of capitalism as we know it, after all the banking crisis of 2008 revealed many of the inherent and enduring problems with the current world order.

In the 1980s every country in the world envied Japan’s economic strategy; they enjoyed the largest output of GDP in the world, second only to their benefactors, the USA. However 1989 saw its downturn as Japan’s economy collapsed due to large amounts of uninvested capital, and as a consequence Japan suffered a ‘lost decade’ and no country in the world envied them in the 1990s. Is it not beyond the realms of possibility that corporations and their tendency these days to store their money in insanely large quantities in offshore accounts could have a similar impact. Societies that rely on cash flow are starved when the assets dry up and cash is stockpiled and remains unspent. 

The Conservative party having dragged the country to the right, are nervous that should any of these dinstinct possibils occur in the next few years, they could potentially face a hung parliment at the next general election, at which point a Labour and SNP coalition could be formed, which would very quickly outshine the Conservative’s recent efforts at governance as these parties each have the required political will to modernise Britain.

 

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Author: Atlas Stood

Human society is changing at an unprecedented pace. Political ideologies from less than 10 years ago appear out-of-touch already to a dissatisfied voting public. In the West, we can see that the days of the politicians making the rules and people largely voting between two options are disappearing. The internet is creating pockets of societal divides, now any idiot, such as myself, can blurt half-baked ill-informed opinions online. In contrast, there is now more scope for good journalism, the public can now check exactly what a politician said in the past without having to trawl through pages and pages of library newspaper archives. The ways in which music and art are sold is changing. A successful YouTuber or blogger can feasibly collect an audience from across the world. One or two people from each town across a continent and you can now garner an audience of thousands or even millions. When this generation grows old, each pocket will have different things that they remember from their youth in this era. The iPhone and Facebook will be all that unites us; if things keep going this way, then no longer will nationhood, musical genre, taught trades or local communities be the things that bring us together in our nostalgia of the past. It will instead by the account created on websites put together by large corporations and how everyone had a Facebook, even though they didn't and they don't. This blog, in short, is anything I feel like externalising that's been playing on my mind in the hope that I can maybe make others more cynical of what they see, read and hear.

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